20250722

NIGERIA'S GARDEN OF EDEN | WHICH WAY FORWARD

-SEPECIAL REPORT-

Nigeria’s Crossroads Moment: Rewrite the Constitution, Rebuild the Politics

As the year winds down, July 2025 will be remembered not only for the passing of a former president, but for the passing of an old political order. Nigeria stands at a rare moment of reckoning, grappling with a Constitution that no longer reflects its aspirations, and a political realignment sparked by the departure of a towering Northern figure.

As the National Assembly launches sweeping hearings on constitutional reform, and party lines blur in the post-Buhari landscape, one question looms above all others: Will Nigeria seize the chance to reset its democratic foundations, or squander it in pursuit of narrow interests?

Constitutional Rebirth: The People's Pushback Against the 1999 Charter

Few documents evoke as much frustration in Nigeria’s civic space as the 1999 Constitution, a military-era framework riddled with centralization, ambiguities, and elite-preserving mechanisms. July’s reform hearings mark the most serious challenge to that status quo since 1999.

Among the headline proposals:

  • Local Government Autonomy: A long overdue liberation of Nigeria’s third tier from state-level manipulation.
  • State Police: A pragmatic response to regional insecurity, letting communities secure themselves.
  • Diaspora Voting Rights: A bold nod to Nigerians abroad whose remittances and expertise fuel the economy.
  • Independent Candidacy: Finally, a crack in the armor of party oligopolies.
  • Gender Equity: Time to turn advocacy into enforceable mandates.
  • New States Creation: A mixed bag, raising both hopes for self-determination and concerns about fragmentation.

Yet the most radical pressure comes from outside government. At the Patriots Summit, elder statesmen, legal scholars and civic champions demanded nothing less than a new people-driven Constitution. Their roadmap includes:

  • Drafting via non-partisan constituent assembly
  • Return to true federalism and judicial decentralization
  • Cutting the cost of governance
  • Mandatory electronic transmission of election results

This is not about tweaking clauses. It’s about rewriting Nigeria’s social contract, from imposed legality to genuine legitimacy.

Buhari’s Exit: The Unraveling of a Northern Political Pillar

On July 13, former President Muhammadu Buhari passed away, quietly closing a chapter defined by Spartan leadership and Northern political cohesion. His death was more than personal—it dismantled a lynchpin in Nigeria’s delicate power matrix.

Without Buhari:

  • The APC’s Northern bloc risks fragmentation, with defections to smaller parties like the ADC.
  • The once-dominant CPC faction is adrift, eroding APC’s leverage in key northern states.
  • President Tinubu faces a perilous balancing act: holding northern loyalty without the Buhari mystique.

Compounding this is a generational divide. While older voters mourn Buhari’s legacy, younger Nigerians carry unresolved trauma from the #EndSARS era and growing disillusionment with traditional power structures.

The result?

An estimated 12 million northern votes, once reliably APC, are now up for grabs. 2027 could witness not just a change of leadership, but a redefining of political legitimacy.

A Nation on the Brink, or on the Verge?

This is not business-as-usual reform. This is a pivotal test of political courage and civic resolve.

Will Nigeria’s leaders embrace the constitutional demands echoing from town halls and civil society? Will they honor Buhari’s memory not by preserving the old order, but by building something better?

As history so often reminds us, nations don’t transform by accident, they transform by choice.

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