Nigeria’s Oil Production Set to Reach 1.8 Million BPD Before Year-End - Insights from Ojulari
Nigeria’s
oil sector is poised for a significant rebound as the Nigerian National
Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) targets a production milestone of 1.8 million
barrels per day (BPD) before the close of 2025.
This ambitious projection was revealed. This ambitious projection was revealed by Bashir Ojular by Bashir Ojulari, the Group Chiefi, the Group Chief Executive Officer Executive Officer of NNPCL, during of NNPCL, during a briefing with a briefing with State House correspond State House correspondents following aents following a meeting with President meeting with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu Bola Ahmed Tinubu at the Presidential at the Presidential Villa in Abuja Villa in Abuja.
Ojulari emphasized
Ojulari
emphasized that the company has made substantial has made substantial progress
in both oil and gas output progress in both. As of September 2025, Nigeria
recorded oil and gas output. As of September 2025, Nigeria recorded a
production level of approximately a production level of approximately 1.68
million BPD 1.68 million BPD, the highest in five, the highest in five years.
Gas production years
Gas
production also surged, reaching also surged, reaching over seven billion over
seven billion cubic feet daily cubic feet daily, marking a notable, marking a
notable achievement in recent achievement in recent times. These figures times.
These figures reflect the impact reflect the impact of strategic interventions
of strategic interventions and infrastructure and infrastructure upgrades,
particularly upgrades, particularly the turnaround maintenance the turnaround
maintenance exercises completed exercises completed in August and September in
August and September.
Ojulari stated
Ojulari
stated that these efforts that these efforts have positioned have positioned
the country to achieve the country to achieve the 1.8 million the 1.8 million
BPD target by December BPD target by December, assuming no major, assuming no
major disruptions occur disruptions occur.
The CEO also outlined
The CEO
also outlined broader production broader production goals set by the goals set
by the presidency, which presidency, which include scaling include scaling up
to two million up to two million BPD by 2027 and BPD by 2027 and eventually
reaching eventually reaching three million B three million BPD by 2030. ThesePD
by 2030. These targets are part targets are part of a comprehensive of a
comprehensive national strategy to revitalize Nigeria’s oil and gas sector,
enhance energy security, and attract foreign investment.
However,
Ojulari acknowledged recent setbacks, notably the industrial dispute between
the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN)
and the Dangote Petroleum Refinery. The strike led to a temporary loss of
nearly 200,000 barrels per day and disrupted about 1,200 megawatts of power
generation. He commended the swift intervention by the Federal Government,
particularly the Minister of Labour and Employment and the National Security
Adviser, which helped resolve the crisis and restore most of the deferred
output.
In
addition to stabilizing production, NNPCL is intensifying efforts to combat
crude oil theft and ensure operational continuity across its fields. Ojulari
reiterated the company’s commitment to working closely with security agencies
to safeguard critical infrastructure and maintain production momentum.
On a
related note, Nigeria’s Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil),
Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, confirmed that the country’s oil production has
already risen from one million to 1.8 million BPD. Speaking at the Africa
Energy Investment Summit in New York,
Lokpobiri
highlighted the renewed investor confidence in Nigeria’s energy sector, with
American firms expressing strong interest in acquiring oil blocks. He stressed
that Africa must leverage its hydrocarbon resources to finance its energy
transition rather than rely on external aid.
In
summary, Nigeria’s oil production trajectory is on an upward path, driven by
strategic reforms, infrastructure upgrades, and renewed investor interest.
With the
1.8 million BPD target within reach, the country is laying the groundwork for
long-term growth and energy independence.
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