Guinea-Bissau Military Takeover - Jonathan Labels It a “Ceremonial Coup”
In late November 2025, Guinea-Bissau was thrust into political turmoil when its military declared “total control” of the country, effectively disrupting the democratic process and trapping delegates from the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS).
The
incident drew swift condemnation from Nigeria’s Federal Government, which
described the development as a grave threat to democracy and regional
stability. Among those caught in the crisis was former Nigerian President
Goodluck Jonathan, who was in Guinea-Bissau leading the West African Elders
Forum Election Observation Mission. He was later evacuated safely by a special
flight alongside his delegation.
Upon his
return to Nigeria, Jonathan addressed the situation in an interview, offering a
striking perspective. He insisted that what unfolded in Guinea-Bissau was not a
conventional coup but something he termed “a ceremonial coup.” His reasoning
stemmed from the unusual manner in which events transpired.
According to Jonathan, President Umaro Sissoco Embaló himself announced that he had been arrested before the military made any official declaration.
Even more
unusually, Embaló continued to use his phone to address international media outlets
during the supposed coup, a scenario Jonathan found inconsistent with the
typical conduct of military takeovers in West Africa. He questioned the
authenticity of the incident, asking rhetorically, “Who is fooling whom?”
Jonathan
contrasted the Guinea-Bissau episode with his experiences mediating in other
West African nations, such as Mali, where military coups followed more
traditional patterns of seizing power and silencing the sitting president. He
expressed concern that the Guinea-Bissau situation undermined democratic norms
and called on ECOWAS and the African Union to ensure that election results were
announced promptly and transparently. He emphasized that the military should
not interfere with the democratic process, stressing that the results already
collated by observers must be respected and made public.
Drawing
from his past role as Chair of the Authority of Heads of State and Government
of ECOWAS, Jonathan recalled the 2010 Côte d’Ivoire elections, where he stood
firm in insisting that Alassane Ouattara be sworn in after international
observers confirmed his victory over incumbent Laurent Gbagbo. He used this
example to underscore the importance of respecting electoral outcomes,
regardless of political pressures or military interference.
Jonathan’s remarks highlight both the fragility of democracy in parts of West Africa and the need for regional bodies to act decisively in safeguarding electoral integrity. His characterization of the Guinea-Bissau takeover as “ceremonial” reflects skepticism about the legitimacy of the military’s actions and raises broader questions about political stability in the region.
For Nigeria and
ECOWAS, the incident serves as a reminder of the ongoing challenges in
consolidating democratic governance across West Africa.
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