Nearly all COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. now are in people who weren’t vaccinated, a staggering demonstration of how effective the shots have been and an indication that deaths per day — now down to under 300 — could be practically zero if everyone eligible got the vaccine.
An Associated Press analysis of available
government data from May shows that “breakthrough” infections in fully
vaccinated people accounted for fewer than 1,200 of more than 853,000 COVID-19
hospitalizations. That’s about 0.1%.
And only about 150 of the more than 18,000
COVID-19 deaths in May were in fully vaccinated people. That translates to
about 0.8%, or five deaths per day on average.
The AP analyzed figures provided by the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The CDC itself has not estimated
what percentage of hospitalizations and deaths are in fully vaccinated people,
citing limitations in the data.
Among them: Only about 45 states report
breakthrough infections, and some are more aggressive than others in looking
for such cases. So the data probably understates such infections, CDC officials
said.
Still, the overall trend that emerges from the data echoes what many health care authorities are seeing around the country and what top experts are saying.
Earlier this month, Andy Slavitt, a former
adviser to the Biden administration on COVID-19, suggested that 98% to 99% of
the Americans dying of the coronavirus are unvaccinated.
And CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky said
on Tuesday that the vaccine is so effective that "nearly every death,
especially among adults, due to COVID-19, is, at this point, entirely
preventable.” She called such deaths “particularly tragic.”
Deaths in the U.S. have plummeted from a
peak of more than 3,400 day on average in mid-January, one month into the
vaccination drive.
About 63% of all vaccine-eligible Americans
— those 12 and older — have received at least one dose, and 53% are fully
vaccinated, according to the CDC. While vaccine remains scarce in much of the
world, the U.S. supply is so abundant and demand has slumped so dramatically that
shots sit unused.
Ross Bagne, a 68-year-old small-business
owner in Cheyenne, Wyoming, was eligible for the vaccine in early February but
didn't get it. He died June 4, infected and unvaccinated, after spending more
than three weeks in the hospital, his lungs filling with fluid. He was unable
to swallow because of a stroke.
“He never went out, so he didn’t think he
would catch it,” said his grieving sister, Karen McKnight. She wondered: “Why
take the risk of not getting vaccinated?”
The preventable deaths will continue,
experts predict, with unvaccinated pockets of the nation experiencing outbreaks
in the fall and winter. Ali Mokdad, a professor of health metrics sciences at
the University of Washington in Seattle, said modeling suggests the nation will
hit 1,000 deaths per day again next year.
In Arkansas, which has one of the lowest vaccination rates in the nation, with only about 33% of the population fully protected, cases, hospitalizations and deaths are rising.
“It is sad to see someone go to the
hospital or die when it can be prevented," Gov. Asa Hutchinson tweeted as
he urged people to get their shots.
In Seattle's King County, the public health
department found only three deaths during a recent 60-day period in people who
were fully vaccinated. The rest, some 95% of 62 deaths, had had no vaccine or
just one shot.
“Those are all somebody’s parents,
grandparents, siblings and friends,” said Dr. Mark Del Beccaro, who helps lead
a vaccination outreach program in King County. “It’s still a lot of deaths, and
they’re preventable deaths.”
In the St. Louis area, more than 90% of
patients hospitalized with COVID-19 have not been vaccinated, said Dr. Alex
Garza, a hospital administrator who directs a metropolitan-area task force on
the outbreak.
“The majority of them express some regret
for not being vaccinated,” Garza said. “That’s a pretty common refrain that
we’re hearing from patients with COVID.”
The stories of unvaccinated people dying
may convince some people they should get the shots, but young adults — the
group least likely to be vaccinated — may be motivated more by a desire to
protect their loved ones, said David Michaels, an epidemiologist at George
Washington University's school of public health in the nation's capital.
Others need paid time off to get the shots
and deal with any side effects, Michaels said.
The Occupational Safety and Health
Administration this month began requiring health care employers, including
hospitals and nursing homes, to provide such time off. But Michaels, who headed
OSHA under President Barack Obama, said the agency should have gone further and
applied the rule to meat and poultry plants and other food operations as well
as other places with workers at risk.
Bagne, who lived alone, ran a business
helping people incorporate their companies in Wyoming for the tax advantages.
He was winding down the business, planning to retire, when he got sick,
emailing his sister in April about an illness that had left him dizzy and
disoriented.
“Whatever it was. That bug took a LOT out
of me,” he wrote.
As his health deteriorated, a neighbor
finally persuaded him to go to the hospital.
“Why was the messaging in his state so
unclear that he didn’t understand the importance of the vaccine? He was a very
bright guy," his sister said. “I wish he’d gotten the vaccine, and I’m sad
he didn’t understand how it could prevent him from getting COVID."
Source: YahooNews
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